5th January India & Global Market Observation Case Studies

Daily Market Roundup: Global & Indian Insights

Date: January 5, 2025

Current Market Sentiment: Greed (65.11)

The global financial landscape on January 5, 2025, showed a resilient rebound from early-year sluggishness. While US major indices snapped a five-session losing streak, global markets balanced mixed geopolitical signals with robust labor data.

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January 5th Trade Summary

On January 3, 2025, the Indian equity markets snapped a winning streak, closing nearly 1% lower due to heavy profit booking. The NSE Nifty 50 declined by 183.90 points (0.76%) to end at 24,004.75, while the BSE Sensex plunged 720.60 points (0.90%) to settle at 79,223.11.

The session saw a sharp divergence between sectors; while the Bank Nifty bore the brunt of the sell-off (dropping 1.19%), niche plays like ITI Ltd and Shiva Texyarn bucked the trend with double-digit gains following major contract wins. Sentiment remained in “Greed” territory at 65.11, signaling that while momentum was positive, caution was warranted for new entries.

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1. Special Segment: Indian Indices & Institutional Activity

Institutional Flow (Cash Market)

FIIs remained net sellers on this specific day, continuing a broader monthly trend of outflows.

| Fri, Jan 03 | -1,842.50 (est) | +2,150.30 (est) | +307.80 |

| Fri, Jan 02 | +289.80 | +677.38 | +967.18 |

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2. Global Indices: Continental Breakdown

Americas (US Market)

US stocks snapped a five-session losing streak led by a rebound in “Magnificent Seven” tech names.

| S&P 500 | 5,965.20 | +1.3% | Technical: Snapped 5-day losing streak; testing support near 5,900. Fundamental: Tesla sales in China hit record highs; Nvidia led tech rally. |

| Dow Jones | 43,210.15 | +0.8% | Technical: Bounced off 4-day decline; RSI showing minor recovery. Fundamental: Buoyed by industrial names; “America First” policy sentiment persists. |

| Nasdaq | 18,915.40 | +1.8% | Technical: Leading Friday’s gains; MACD crossover potential on 1-hour chart. Fundamental: AI-related chip demand remains high despite valuation concerns. |

Europe

European shares outperformed other regions in early January, benefiting from a rotation out of US tech.

| DAX (GER) | 20,197.50 | -0.22% | Technical: Facing resistance at 20,200; bearish reversal off pivot. Fundamental: ECB cut rates by 25bp; economic risks tilted to the downside. |

| FTSE 100 | 8,245.30 | +0.15% | Technical: Neutral momentum; price stabilizing near 8,250. Fundamental: Resilient despite weak retail data; energy stocks provided support. |

Asia-Pacific

Index	Price	Change	Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Nikkei 225	38,412.50	-0.37%	Technical: Under pressure from Yen volatility; bearish trend below EMA50. Fundamental: BoJ interest rate hikes weighing on export-heavy sectors.
Hang Seng	19,540.20	-0.87%	Technical: Weighed down by China economic concerns; testing support at 19,500. Fundamental: Deflationary pressures persist as CPI grew only 0.1%.

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3. Live Data: Crypto, Commodities & Forex

Asset	Price	Change	Market Driver
Gold (Spot)	$2,654.50	+0.75%	Bullish Pattern: Double bottom confirmed at $2,640; testing $2,700 resistance.
Crude (WTI)	$73.96	+4.8% (Wk)	Bullish: Highest since Oct 11; driven by Chinese growth optimism and supply risks.
EUR/USD	1.0540	-0.14%	Bearish: Overall momentum remains bearish; pivot at 1.0344.
Bitcoin (BTC)	$94,210	+1.2%	Technical: Cycle peak sustainability questioned; testing $95k resistance on ETF inflows.

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4. Special Segment: Indian Indices & Stocks

• Top Performers (Nifty 50): ONGC (+3.42%) and Tata Motors (+3.15%).
• Top Losers (Nifty 50): HDFC Bank (-2.53%) and ICICI Bank (-1.94%).
• IPO Alert: Bharat Coking Coal (Coal India subsidiary) fixed price band for its ₹1,071 crore IPO.
• F&O Ban: SAIL continues to be under the ban list.

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5. Economic Calendar & Announcements

• USA: Non-farm Payrolls added 256k jobs, exceeding expectations and suggesting a robust labor market.
• USA: ISM Manufacturing PMI estimated at 48.3, marking a 9th consecutive month of contraction.
• Global: Geopolitical tensions rise following safe-haven demand spikes in gold.

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